{"text_format":"1","workbook":"xlsx","n_sheets":4,"sheets":["Cover","Dashboard","Optionality Value Calculation","Deferral Value Calculation"],"not_rendered":{"charts":2,"images":8,"macros":1,"external_links":1,"defined_names":43,"comments":0,"pivot_tables":0},"unopened":[],"bounds":{"document_bytes":16777216,"sheet_cells":100000,"rows_first":2000,"rows_last":500,"rows_between":2000,"halvings":0,"cell_chars":16384,"cell_head_chars":4096},"cells_cut":0,"cells_raw":0,"read":"whole","date_system":"1900"}

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["Optionality Valuation Model"]
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[null,"Prepared for","Prepared by"]
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[null,"September 2025"]
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[null,"Valuation Framework"]
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[null,null,"*Optionality Value and Other value streams may be assessed in the future as better data and quantification methods become available."]
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[null,"Instructions"]
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[null,"Enter user inputs on the dashboard to inform the Optionality Value and Deferral Value calculations."]
[null,"Review the blue calculation tabs to understand how the value streams are calculated."]
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[null,"Table of Contents"]
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[null,"Sheet","Description"]
[null,"Dashboard","User inputs for project-specific data."]
[null,"Optionality Value Calculation","Calculations for Optionality Value"]
[null,"Deferral Value Calculation","Calculations for Deferral Value - the Optionality Value relies on the Deferral Value calculations"]
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[null,"Cell Style Legend"]
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[null,"Cells in this tool are color-coded to indicate intent:"]
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[null,"User Inputs"]
[null,"Dropdown User Inputs"]
[null,"Hard-coded input - Do not modify"]
[null,"Calculations or Fixed Values - Do not modify"]
[null,"Calculations (different formula than neighboring cells) - Do not modify"]
[null,"Outputs - Do not modify"]
[]
[null,"Table Headers"]
[null,"Table Sub-Headers"]
[null,"Table Index (Row Descriptions)"]

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[null,"User Inputs"]
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[null,"Project-Specific Planning Inputs",null,"Explanation"]
[null,"In-Service Date of Planned Upgrade (by Jan 1)",{"$f":"INDEX($C$15:$AB$15,MATCH(TRUE,$C$20:$AB$20,0))","v":2032},"Plant-in-service year of the traditional asset upgrade without the deferral solution. A non-blank user input overrides use of the specified load forecast and capacity limit"]
[null,"Adjusted Plant-in-service Year (by Jan 1)",{"$f":"INDEX($C$15:$AB$15,MATCH(TRUE,$C$21:$AB$21,0))","v":2035},"Plant-in-service Year of traditional asset upgrade once the deferral solution has been implemented. A non-blank user input overrides use of the specified load forecast and capacity limit plus DER impact"]
[null,"Years of Deferral",{"$f":"C8-C7","v":3}]
[null,"Lead Time Required for Investment Decision",3]
[null,"Capacity limit (MW)",110]
[null,"Planning Standard Forecast Percentile (Annual)",0.7]
[null,"Maximum reliable DER capacity (MW)",10]
[]
[null,"Project-Specific Planning Inputs",2025,{"$f":"+C15+1","v":2026},2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050]
[null,"1-in-2 Peak Load Forecast (MW)",90,{"$f":"C16*1.025","v":92.249999999999986},94.556249999999977,96.920156249999962,99.343160156249951,101.82673916015619,104.37240763916009,106.98171783013908,109.65626077589255,112.39766729528985,115.20760897767208,118.08779920211387,121.03999418216671,124.06599403672087,127.16764388763887,130.34683498482983,133.60550585945057,136.94564350593683,140.36928459358523,143.87851670842485,147.47547962613547,151.16236661678883,154.94142578220854,158.81496142676374,162.78533546243281,166.85496884899362]
[null,"Annual Forecast Volatility (MW)",0,{"$f":"D19/2","v":1.1249999999999929},1.1531249999999957,1.1819531249999926,1.2115019531249942,1.2417895019531215,1.2728342395019467,1.304655095489494,1.3372714728767363,1.3707032596986508,1.4049708411911155,1.4400951122208951,1.4760974900264188,1.5129999272770789,1.5508249254590041,1.5895955485954758,1.6293354373103739,1.6700688232431276,1.7118205438242029,1.7546160574198097,1.7984814588553064,1.8434434953266816,1.889529582709855,1.9367678222776021,1.9851870178345337,2.0348166932804048]
[null,"Planning Standard Peak Load Forecast (MW)",{"$f":"'Optionality Value Calculation'!BG72","v":90},{"$f":"'Optionality Value Calculation'!BH72","v":92.839950576796525},{"$f":"'Optionality Value Calculation'!BI72","v":95.750899918012976},{"$f":"'Optionality Value Calculation'!BJ72","v":98.734622992759824},{"$f":"'Optionality Value Calculation'!BK72","v":101.79293914437535},{"$f":"'Optionality Value Calculation'!BL72","v":104.92771319978128},{"$f":"'Optionality Value Calculation'!BM72","v":108.14085660657234},{"$f":"'Optionality Value Calculation'!BN72","v":111.43432859853318},{"$f":"'Optionality Value Calculation'!BO72","v":114.81013739029305},{"$f":"'Optionality Value Calculation'!BP72","v":118.27034140184691},{"$f":"'Optionality Value Calculation'!BQ72","v":121.81705051368961},{"$f":"'Optionality Value Calculation'!BR72","v":125.45242735332837},{"$f":"'Optionality Value Calculation'!BS72","v":129.17868861395812},{"$f":"'Optionality Value Calculation'!BT72","v":132.9981064061036},{"$f":"'Optionality Value Calculation'!BU72","v":136.91300964305273},{"$f":"'Optionality Value Calculation'!BV72","v":140.92578546092557},{"$f":"'Optionality Value Calculation'!BW72","v":145.03888067424526},{"$f":"'Optionality Value Calculation'!BX72","v":149.25480326789793},{"$f":"'Optionality Value Calculation'!BY72","v":153.57612392639192},{"$f":"'Optionality Value Calculation'!BZ72","v":158.00547760134825},{"$f":"'Optionality Value Calculation'!CA72","v":162.5455651181785},{"$f":"'Optionality Value Calculation'!CB72","v":167.19915482292947},{"$f":"'Optionality Value Calculation'!CC72","v":171.96908427029925},{"$f":"'Optionality Value Calculation'!CD72","v":176.85826195385326},{"$f":"'Optionality Value Calculation'!CE72","v":181.86966907949611},{"$f":"'Optionality Value Calculation'!CF72","v":187.00636138328005}]
[null,"Forecast Growth (MW)",0,{"$f":"D16-C16","v":2.2499999999999858},2.3062499999999915,2.3639062499999852,2.4230039062499884,2.4835790039062431,2.5456684790038935,2.609310190978988,2.6745429457534726,2.7414065193973016,2.809941682382231,2.8801902244417903,2.9521949800528375,3.0259998545541578,3.1016498509180082,3.1791910971909516,3.2586708746207478,3.3401376464862551,3.4236410876484058,3.5092321148396195,3.5969629177106128,3.6868869906533632,3.7790591654197101,3.8735356445552043,3.9703740356690673,4.0696333865608096]
[null,"Planning Standard Exceeds Capacity Limit",{"$f":"C18>$C$11","v":false},false,false,false,false,false,false,true,true,true,true,true,true,true,true,true,true,true,true,true,true,true,true,true,true,true]
[null,"Planning Standard + Max DER Capacity Exceeds Limit",{"$f":"C18>($C$11+$C$13)","v":false},false,false,false,false,false,false,false,false,false,true,true,true,true,true,true,true,true,true,true,true,true,true,true,true,true]
[]
[null,"Capacity Need for Load Relief (MW)",2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050]
[null,"Annual Capacity Need",{"$f":"IF(MAX(0,Dashboard!C18-Dashboard!$C$11)>Dashboard!$C$13,0,MAX(0,Dashboard!C18-Dashboard!$C$11))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(MAX(0,Dashboard!D18-Dashboard!$C$11)>Dashboard!$C$13,0,MAX(0,Dashboard!D18-Dashboard!$C$11))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(MAX(0,Dashboard!E18-Dashboard!$C$11)>Dashboard!$C$13,0,MAX(0,Dashboard!E18-Dashboard!$C$11))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(MAX(0,Dashboard!F18-Dashboard!$C$11)>Dashboard!$C$13,0,MAX(0,Dashboard!F18-Dashboard!$C$11))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(MAX(0,Dashboard!G18-Dashboard!$C$11)>Dashboard!$C$13,0,MAX(0,Dashboard!G18-Dashboard!$C$11))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(MAX(0,Dashboard!H18-Dashboard!$C$11)>Dashboard!$C$13,0,MAX(0,Dashboard!H18-Dashboard!$C$11))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(MAX(0,Dashboard!I18-Dashboard!$C$11)>Dashboard!$C$13,0,MAX(0,Dashboard!I18-Dashboard!$C$11))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(MAX(0,Dashboard!J18-Dashboard!$C$11)>Dashboard!$C$13,0,MAX(0,Dashboard!J18-Dashboard!$C$11))","v":1.4343285985331846},{"$f":"IF(MAX(0,Dashboard!K18-Dashboard!$C$11)>Dashboard!$C$13,0,MAX(0,Dashboard!K18-Dashboard!$C$11))","v":4.8101373902930504},{"$f":"IF(MAX(0,Dashboard!L18-Dashboard!$C$11)>Dashboard!$C$13,0,MAX(0,Dashboard!L18-Dashboard!$C$11))","v":8.2703414018469061},{"$f":"IF(MAX(0,Dashboard!M18-Dashboard!$C$11)>Dashboard!$C$13,0,MAX(0,Dashboard!M18-Dashboard!$C$11))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(MAX(0,Dashboard!N18-Dashboard!$C$11)>Dashboard!$C$13,0,MAX(0,Dashboard!N18-Dashboard!$C$11))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(MAX(0,Dashboard!O18-Dashboard!$C$11)>Dashboard!$C$13,0,MAX(0,Dashboard!O18-Dashboard!$C$11))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(MAX(0,Dashboard!P18-Dashboard!$C$11)>Dashboard!$C$13,0,MAX(0,Dashboard!P18-Dashboard!$C$11))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(MAX(0,Dashboard!Q18-Dashboard!$C$11)>Dashboard!$C$13,0,MAX(0,Dashboard!Q18-Dashboard!$C$11))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(MAX(0,Dashboard!R18-Dashboard!$C$11)>Dashboard!$C$13,0,MAX(0,Dashboard!R18-Dashboard!$C$11))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(MAX(0,Dashboard!S18-Dashboard!$C$11)>Dashboard!$C$13,0,MAX(0,Dashboard!S18-Dashboard!$C$11))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(MAX(0,Dashboard!T18-Dashboard!$C$11)>Dashboard!$C$13,0,MAX(0,Dashboard!T18-Dashboard!$C$11))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(MAX(0,Dashboard!U18-Dashboard!$C$11)>Dashboard!$C$13,0,MAX(0,Dashboard!U18-Dashboard!$C$11))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(MAX(0,Dashboard!V18-Dashboard!$C$11)>Dashboard!$C$13,0,MAX(0,Dashboard!V18-Dashboard!$C$11))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(MAX(0,Dashboard!W18-Dashboard!$C$11)>Dashboard!$C$13,0,MAX(0,Dashboard!W18-Dashboard!$C$11))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(MAX(0,Dashboard!X18-Dashboard!$C$11)>Dashboard!$C$13,0,MAX(0,Dashboard!X18-Dashboard!$C$11))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(MAX(0,Dashboard!Y18-Dashboard!$C$11)>Dashboard!$C$13,0,MAX(0,Dashboard!Y18-Dashboard!$C$11))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(MAX(0,Dashboard!Z18-Dashboard!$C$11)>Dashboard!$C$13,0,MAX(0,Dashboard!Z18-Dashboard!$C$11))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(MAX(0,Dashboard!AA18-Dashboard!$C$11)>Dashboard!$C$13,0,MAX(0,Dashboard!AA18-Dashboard!$C$11))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(MAX(0,Dashboard!AB18-Dashboard!$C$11)>Dashboard!$C$13,0,MAX(0,Dashboard!AB18-Dashboard!$C$11))","v":0}]
[null,"Forecasted capacity need at deferral or bridge-to-wires project location"]

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[]
[]
[null,"Optionality Value Stream"]
[]
[]
[null,"Optionality value captures the benefit of decreasing uncertainty in the forecast used to determine investment timing"]
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[null,"Optionality Value Calculation"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Simulated Frequency of Additional Years of Deferral",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Peak Load Foreacst"]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,"Results Summary"]
[null,null,null,"Unitized Optionality Value ($/kW-yr)",{"$f":"E49/E50/1000/(E52-E51)","v":34.997066915403508}]
[null,null,null,"Optimal Deferral Period (yrs)",{"$f":"$DP$61","v":0.65359999999999996},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"$DP$61","v":0.65359999999999996},0,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Dashboard!C15","v":2025},{"$f":"Dashboard!$C$11","v":110}]
[null,null,null,"Total Optionality Value ($)",{"$f":"$DQ$61","v":868313.07436100463},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"$DP$61","v":0.65359999999999996},{"$f":"MAX(DT73:DT93)","v":1860},null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Dashboard!AB15","v":2050},{"$f":"Dashboard!$C$11","v":110}]
[null,null,null,"Capacity Need with Optimal Deferral Period (MW)",{"$f":"MAX(Dashboard!$C$24:$AB$24)","v":8.2703414018469061}]
[null,null,null,"In-Service Date of Planned Upgrade",{"$f":"Dashboard!$C$7","v":2032}]
[null,null,null,"Adjusted Plant-in-service Year",{"$f":"Dashboard!$C$8","v":2035}]
[null,null,null,"Years of Deferral calculated from Planned Upgrade (N)",{"$f":"E52-E51","v":3}]
[]
[]
[]
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[]
[null,null,null,"Year",{"$f":"Dashboard!C15","v":2025},{"$f":"Dashboard!D15","v":2026},{"$f":"Dashboard!E15","v":2027},{"$f":"Dashboard!F15","v":2028},{"$f":"Dashboard!G15","v":2029},{"$f":"Dashboard!H15","v":2030},{"$f":"Dashboard!I15","v":2031},{"$f":"Dashboard!J15","v":2032},{"$f":"Dashboard!K15","v":2033},{"$f":"Dashboard!L15","v":2034},{"$f":"Dashboard!M15","v":2035},{"$f":"Dashboard!N15","v":2036},{"$f":"Dashboard!O15","v":2037},{"$f":"Dashboard!P15","v":2038},{"$f":"Dashboard!Q15","v":2039},{"$f":"Dashboard!R15","v":2040},{"$f":"Dashboard!S15","v":2041},{"$f":"Dashboard!T15","v":2042},{"$f":"Dashboard!U15","v":2043},{"$f":"Dashboard!V15","v":2044},{"$f":"Dashboard!W15","v":2045},{"$f":"Dashboard!X15","v":2046},{"$f":"Dashboard!Y15","v":2047},{"$f":"Dashboard!Z15","v":2048},{"$f":"Dashboard!AA15","v":2049},{"$f":"Dashboard!AB15","v":2050},null,{"$f":"Dashboard!C15","v":2025},{"$f":"Dashboard!D15","v":2026},{"$f":"Dashboard!E15","v":2027},{"$f":"Dashboard!F15","v":2028},{"$f":"Dashboard!G15","v":2029},{"$f":"Dashboard!H15","v":2030},{"$f":"Dashboard!I15","v":2031},{"$f":"Dashboard!J15","v":2032},{"$f":"Dashboard!K15","v":2033},{"$f":"Dashboard!L15","v":2034},{"$f":"Dashboard!M15","v":2035},{"$f":"Dashboard!N15","v":2036},{"$f":"Dashboard!O15","v":2037},{"$f":"Dashboard!P15","v":2038},{"$f":"Dashboard!Q15","v":2039},{"$f":"Dashboard!R15","v":2040},{"$f":"Dashboard!S15","v":2041},{"$f":"Dashboard!T15","v":2042},{"$f":"Dashboard!U15","v":2043},{"$f":"Dashboard!V15","v":2044},{"$f":"Dashboard!W15","v":2045},{"$f":"Dashboard!X15","v":2046},{"$f":"Dashboard!Y15","v":2047},{"$f":"Dashboard!Z15","v":2048},{"$f":"Dashboard!AA15","v":2049},{"$f":"Dashboard!AB15","v":2050},null,{"$f":"Dashboard!C15","v":2025},{"$f":"Dashboard!D15","v":2026},{"$f":"Dashboard!E15","v":2027},{"$f":"Dashboard!F15","v":2028},{"$f":"Dashboard!G15","v":2029},{"$f":"Dashboard!H15","v":2030},{"$f":"Dashboard!I15","v":2031},{"$f":"Dashboard!J15","v":2032},{"$f":"Dashboard!K15","v":2033},{"$f":"Dashboard!L15","v":2034},{"$f":"Dashboard!M15","v":2035},{"$f":"Dashboard!N15","v":2036},{"$f":"Dashboard!O15","v":2037},{"$f":"Dashboard!P15","v":2038},{"$f":"Dashboard!Q15","v":2039},{"$f":"Dashboard!R15","v":2040},{"$f":"Dashboard!S15","v":2041},{"$f":"Dashboard!T15","v":2042},{"$f":"Dashboard!U15","v":2043},{"$f":"Dashboard!V15","v":2044},{"$f":"Dashboard!W15","v":2045},{"$f":"Dashboard!X15","v":2046},{"$f":"Dashboard!Y15","v":2047},{"$f":"Dashboard!Z15","v":2048},{"$f":"Dashboard!AA15","v":2049},{"$f":"Dashboard!AB15","v":2050},null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Dashboard!C15","v":2025},{"$f":"Dashboard!D15","v":2026},{"$f":"Dashboard!E15","v":2027},{"$f":"Dashboard!F15","v":2028},{"$f":"Dashboard!G15","v":2029},{"$f":"Dashboard!H15","v":2030},{"$f":"Dashboard!I15","v":2031},{"$f":"Dashboard!J15","v":2032},{"$f":"Dashboard!K15","v":2033},{"$f":"Dashboard!L15","v":2034},{"$f":"Dashboard!M15","v":2035},{"$f":"Dashboard!N15","v":2036},{"$f":"Dashboard!O15","v":2037},{"$f":"Dashboard!P15","v":2038},{"$f":"Dashboard!Q15","v":2039},{"$f":"Dashboard!R15","v":2040},{"$f":"Dashboard!S15","v":2041},{"$f":"Dashboard!T15","v":2042},{"$f":"Dashboard!U15","v":2043},{"$f":"Dashboard!V15","v":2044},{"$f":"Dashboard!W15","v":2045},{"$f":"Dashboard!X15","v":2046},{"$f":"Dashboard!Y15","v":2047},{"$f":"Dashboard!Z15","v":2048},{"$f":"Dashboard!AA15","v":2049},{"$f":"Dashboard!AB15","v":2050}]
[null,null,null,"Median Peak Load Forecast (MW)",{"$f":"Dashboard!C16","v":90},{"$f":"Dashboard!D16","v":92.249999999999986},{"$f":"Dashboard!E16","v":94.556249999999977},{"$f":"Dashboard!F16","v":96.920156249999962},{"$f":"Dashboard!G16","v":99.343160156249951},{"$f":"Dashboard!H16","v":101.82673916015619},{"$f":"Dashboard!I16","v":104.37240763916009},{"$f":"Dashboard!J16","v":106.98171783013908},{"$f":"Dashboard!K16","v":109.65626077589255},{"$f":"Dashboard!L16","v":112.39766729528985},{"$f":"Dashboard!M16","v":115.20760897767208},{"$f":"Dashboard!N16","v":118.08779920211387},{"$f":"Dashboard!O16","v":121.03999418216671},{"$f":"Dashboard!P16","v":124.06599403672087},{"$f":"Dashboard!Q16","v":127.16764388763887},{"$f":"Dashboard!R16","v":130.34683498482983},{"$f":"Dashboard!S16","v":133.60550585945057},{"$f":"Dashboard!T16","v":136.94564350593683},{"$f":"Dashboard!U16","v":140.36928459358523},{"$f":"Dashboard!V16","v":143.87851670842485},{"$f":"Dashboard!W16","v":147.47547962613547},{"$f":"Dashboard!X16","v":151.16236661678883},{"$f":"Dashboard!Y16","v":154.94142578220854},{"$f":"Dashboard!Z16","v":158.81496142676374},{"$f":"Dashboard!AA16","v":162.78533546243281},{"$f":"Dashboard!AB16","v":166.85496884899362},null,{"$f":"SUM(OFFSET(AF$72,0,1,1,Dashboard!$C$10))","v":8.734622992759828},{"$f":"SUM(OFFSET(AG$72,0,1,1,Dashboard!$C$10))","v":8.9529885675788297},{"$f":"SUM(OFFSET(AH$72,0,1,1,Dashboard!$C$10))","v":9.1768132817683039},{"$f":"SUM(OFFSET(AI$72,0,1,1,Dashboard!$C$10))","v":9.406233613812514},{"$f":"SUM(OFFSET(AJ$72,0,1,1,Dashboard!$C$10))","v":9.6413894541578227},{"$f":"SUM(OFFSET(AK$72,0,1,1,Dashboard!$C$10))","v":9.8824241905117702},{"$f":"SUM(OFFSET(AL$72,0,1,1,Dashboard!$C$10))","v":10.129484795274564},{"$f":"SUM(OFFSET(AM$72,0,1,1,Dashboard!$C$10))","v":10.382721915156427},{"$f":"SUM(OFFSET(AN$72,0,1,1,Dashboard!$C$10))","v":10.642289963035328},{"$f":"SUM(OFFSET(AO$72,0,1,1,Dashboard!$C$10))","v":10.908347212111213},{"$f":"SUM(OFFSET(AP$72,0,1,1,Dashboard!$C$10))","v":11.181055892414001},{"$f":"SUM(OFFSET(AQ$72,0,1,1,Dashboard!$C$10))","v":11.46058228972435},{"$f":"SUM(OFFSET(AR$72,0,1,1,Dashboard!$C$10))","v":11.747096846967445},{"$f":"SUM(OFFSET(AS$72,0,1,1,Dashboard!$C$10))","v":12.040774268141645},{"$f":"SUM(OFFSET(AT$72,0,1,1,Dashboard!$C$10))","v":12.341793624845192},{"$f":"SUM(OFFSET(AU$72,0,1,1,Dashboard!$C$10))","v":12.650338465466326},{"$f":"SUM(OFFSET(AV$72,0,1,1,Dashboard!$C$10))","v":12.96659692710297},{"$f":"SUM(OFFSET(AW$72,0,1,1,Dashboard!$C$10))","v":13.290761850280544},{"$f":"SUM(OFFSET(AX$72,0,1,1,Dashboard!$C$10))","v":13.623030896537546},{"$f":"SUM(OFFSET(AY$72,0,1,1,Dashboard!$C$10))","v":13.963606668950987},{"$f":"SUM(OFFSET(AZ$72,0,1,1,Dashboard!$C$10))","v":14.31269683567476},{"$f":"SUM(OFFSET(BA$72,0,1,1,Dashboard!$C$10))","v":14.670514256566626},{"$f":"SUM(OFFSET(BB$72,0,1,1,Dashboard!$C$10))","v":15.037277112980792},{"$f":"SUM(OFFSET(BC$72,0,1,1,Dashboard!$C$10))","v":{"$error":"#N/A"}},{"$f":"SUM(OFFSET(BD$72,0,1,1,Dashboard!$C$10))","v":{"$error":"#N/A"}},{"$f":"SUM(OFFSET(BE$72,0,1,1,Dashboard!$C$10))","v":{"$error":"#N/A"}},"Min Forecast",{"$f":"MIN(BG$73:BG$5072)","v":90},88.701634105761599,88.552435395306787,89.275416577627809,90.833045644389784,92.145199943971136,92.941301725027373,93.464785535850424,95.733672301459421,98.29910914475623,101.14677060109626,102.19561005995497,104.43891425502241,107.08268709176293,108.4807975780014,109.73386497611814,111.26480465255842,116.57397976247532,117.64837599027692,120.37954362147754,122.58730228661003,126.90410889745068,129.74828447266952,131.47114286305569,135.17367726765266,{"$f":"MIN(CF$73:CF$5072)","v":138.70061007397211}]
[null,null,null,"Annual Forecast Volatility (MW)",{"$f":"Dashboard!C17","v":0},{"$f":"Dashboard!D17","v":1.1249999999999929},{"$f":"Dashboard!E17","v":1.1531249999999957},{"$f":"Dashboard!F17","v":1.1819531249999926},{"$f":"Dashboard!G17","v":1.2115019531249942},{"$f":"Dashboard!H17","v":1.2417895019531215},{"$f":"Dashboard!I17","v":1.2728342395019467},{"$f":"Dashboard!J17","v":1.304655095489494},{"$f":"Dashboard!K17","v":1.3372714728767363},{"$f":"Dashboard!L17","v":1.3707032596986508},{"$f":"Dashboard!M17","v":1.4049708411911155},{"$f":"Dashboard!N17","v":1.4400951122208951},{"$f":"Dashboard!O17","v":1.4760974900264188},{"$f":"Dashboard!P17","v":1.5129999272770789},{"$f":"Dashboard!Q17","v":1.5508249254590041},{"$f":"Dashboard!R17","v":1.5895955485954758},{"$f":"Dashboard!S17","v":1.6293354373103739},{"$f":"Dashboard!T17","v":1.6700688232431276},{"$f":"Dashboard!U17","v":1.7118205438242029},{"$f":"Dashboard!V17","v":1.7546160574198097},{"$f":"Dashboard!W17","v":1.7984814588553064},{"$f":"Dashboard!X17","v":1.8434434953266816},{"$f":"Dashboard!Y17","v":1.889529582709855},{"$f":"Dashboard!Z17","v":1.9367678222776021},{"$f":"Dashboard!AA17","v":1.9851870178345337},{"$f":"Dashboard!AB17","v":2.0348166932804048},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Increment to Max",{"$f":"MAX(BG$73:BG$5072)-BG64","v":0},8.1866362925741782,11.476847563459771,14.486340126312129,17.022167323020483,18.593480631938419,21.951315812479407,25.976543396683994,25.904798765653013,26.8098944965909,28.011160971515565,30.532786832529737,31.632911525094528,32.77805771426857,36.520935902240822,39.029814122704053,41.299181596601883,39.063076914525681,43.903445013251996,47.477325778239461,52.145262712405213,52.886478202471281,56.081453233742309,55.738437567260547,58.191623972532938,{"$f":"MAX(CF$73:CF$5072)-CF64","v":60.501972939379783}]
[null,null,null,"Planning Standard Peak Load Forecast (MW)",{"$f":"Dashboard!C18","v":90},{"$f":"Dashboard!D18","v":92.839950576796525},{"$f":"Dashboard!E18","v":95.750899918012976},{"$f":"Dashboard!F18","v":98.734622992759824},{"$f":"Dashboard!G18","v":101.79293914437535},{"$f":"Dashboard!H18","v":104.92771319978128},{"$f":"Dashboard!I18","v":108.14085660657234},{"$f":"Dashboard!J18","v":111.43432859853318},{"$f":"Dashboard!K18","v":114.81013739029305},{"$f":"Dashboard!L18","v":118.27034140184691},{"$f":"Dashboard!M18","v":121.81705051368961},{"$f":"Dashboard!N18","v":125.45242735332837},{"$f":"Dashboard!O18","v":129.17868861395812},{"$f":"Dashboard!P18","v":132.9981064061036},{"$f":"Dashboard!Q18","v":136.91300964305273},{"$f":"Dashboard!R18","v":140.92578546092557},{"$f":"Dashboard!S18","v":145.03888067424526},{"$f":"Dashboard!T18","v":149.25480326789793},{"$f":"Dashboard!U18","v":153.57612392639192},{"$f":"Dashboard!V18","v":158.00547760134825},{"$f":"Dashboard!W18","v":162.5455651181785},{"$f":"Dashboard!X18","v":167.19915482292947},{"$f":"Dashboard!Y18","v":171.96908427029925},{"$f":"Dashboard!Z18","v":176.85826195385326},{"$f":"Dashboard!AA18","v":181.86966907949611},{"$f":"Dashboard!AB18","v":187.00636138328005},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Capacity",{"$f":"Dashboard!$C$11","v":110},{"$f":"Dashboard!$C$11","v":110},{"$f":"Dashboard!$C$11","v":110},{"$f":"Dashboard!$C$11","v":110},{"$f":"Dashboard!$C$11","v":110},{"$f":"Dashboard!$C$11","v":110},{"$f":"Dashboard!$C$11","v":110},{"$f":"Dashboard!$C$11","v":110},{"$f":"Dashboard!$C$11","v":110},{"$f":"Dashboard!$C$11","v":110},{"$f":"Dashboard!$C$11","v":110},{"$f":"Dashboard!$C$11","v":110},{"$f":"Dashboard!$C$11","v":110},{"$f":"Dashboard!$C$11","v":110},{"$f":"Dashboard!$C$11","v":110},{"$f":"Dashboard!$C$11","v":110},{"$f":"Dashboard!$C$11","v":110},{"$f":"Dashboard!$C$11","v":110},{"$f":"Dashboard!$C$11","v":110},{"$f":"Dashboard!$C$11","v":110},{"$f":"Dashboard!$C$11","v":110},{"$f":"Dashboard!$C$11","v":110},{"$f":"Dashboard!$C$11","v":110},{"$f":"Dashboard!$C$11","v":110},{"$f":"Dashboard!$C$11","v":110},{"$f":"Dashboard!$C$11","v":110}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast Growth (MW)",{"$f":"Dashboard!C19","v":0},{"$f":"Dashboard!D19","v":2.2499999999999858},{"$f":"Dashboard!E19","v":2.3062499999999915},{"$f":"Dashboard!F19","v":2.3639062499999852},{"$f":"Dashboard!G19","v":2.4230039062499884},{"$f":"Dashboard!H19","v":2.4835790039062431},{"$f":"Dashboard!I19","v":2.5456684790038935},{"$f":"Dashboard!J19","v":2.609310190978988},{"$f":"Dashboard!K19","v":2.6745429457534726},{"$f":"Dashboard!L19","v":2.7414065193973016},{"$f":"Dashboard!M19","v":2.809941682382231},{"$f":"Dashboard!N19","v":2.8801902244417903},{"$f":"Dashboard!O19","v":2.9521949800528375},{"$f":"Dashboard!P19","v":3.0259998545541578},{"$f":"Dashboard!Q19","v":3.1016498509180082},{"$f":"Dashboard!R19","v":3.1791910971909516},{"$f":"Dashboard!S19","v":3.2586708746207478},{"$f":"Dashboard!T19","v":3.3401376464862551},{"$f":"Dashboard!U19","v":3.4236410876484058},{"$f":"Dashboard!V19","v":3.5092321148396195},{"$f":"Dashboard!W19","v":3.5969629177106128},{"$f":"Dashboard!X19","v":3.6868869906533632},{"$f":"Dashboard!Y19","v":3.7790591654197101},{"$f":"Dashboard!Z19","v":3.8735356445552043},{"$f":"Dashboard!AA19","v":3.9703740356690673},{"$f":"Dashboard!AB19","v":4.0696333865608096},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Capacity w/ DER",{"$f":"BG66+Dashboard!$C$13","v":120},{"$f":"BH66+Dashboard!$C$13","v":120},{"$f":"BI66+Dashboard!$C$13","v":120},{"$f":"BJ66+Dashboard!$C$13","v":120},{"$f":"BK66+Dashboard!$C$13","v":120},{"$f":"BL66+Dashboard!$C$13","v":120},{"$f":"BM66+Dashboard!$C$13","v":120},{"$f":"BN66+Dashboard!$C$13","v":120},{"$f":"BO66+Dashboard!$C$13","v":120},{"$f":"BP66+Dashboard!$C$13","v":120},{"$f":"BQ66+Dashboard!$C$13","v":120},{"$f":"BR66+Dashboard!$C$13","v":120},{"$f":"BS66+Dashboard!$C$13","v":120},{"$f":"BT66+Dashboard!$C$13","v":120},{"$f":"BU66+Dashboard!$C$13","v":120},{"$f":"BV66+Dashboard!$C$13","v":120},{"$f":"BW66+Dashboard!$C$13","v":120},{"$f":"BX66+Dashboard!$C$13","v":120},{"$f":"BY66+Dashboard!$C$13","v":120},{"$f":"BZ66+Dashboard!$C$13","v":120},{"$f":"CA66+Dashboard!$C$13","v":120},{"$f":"CB66+Dashboard!$C$13","v":120},{"$f":"CC66+Dashboard!$C$13","v":120},{"$f":"CD66+Dashboard!$C$13","v":120},{"$f":"CE66+Dashboard!$C$13","v":120},{"$f":"CF66+Dashboard!$C$13","v":120}]
[]
[null,"Deferral Scenario Simulations"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Binned Results for Chart"]
[null,"Avg Percentile",null,null,"Percentile",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Annual Load Growth (MW)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Annual Peak Load (MW)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Decision Year",null,"DER impact",null,{"$f":"\"Cumulative Load Growth at Planning Standard Forecast after \"&Dashboard!$C$13&\" MW Deferral\"","v":"Cumulative Load Growth at Planning Standard Forecast after 10 MW Deferral"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual Decision Year","Expected Decision Year (based on knowledge at start of deferral period)",null,"Extra years after expected deferral (DER+wires)","Associated Incremental Value ($)",null,"Extra years after expected deferral (DER+wires)","Random Walk Frequency"]
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{"sheet":"Deferral Value Calculation","index":3,"n_rows":93,"n_cols":63,"rows_kept":93,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[5,1,5,5],[41,1,41,5],[92,1,93,5]]}
[]
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[null,"Deferral Value Stream"]
[]
[]
[null,"Deferral Value reflects benefits of delaying investments related to the time value of money."]
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[null,"Deferral Value Calculation"]
[]
[null,"ILLUSTRATIVE INPUTS. All inputs included are illustrative only, used to indicate calculation methodology rather than actual deferral value inputs and results. Approaches applied by each EDC may vary slightly and EDC inputs will be aligned to approved filings."]
[]
[null,"Note: The 'Counterfactual' investment or upgrade refers to the investment that is being deferred through the use of DERs to provide grid services."]
[null,"Project Inputs",null,"User Input (Override)","Example 1","Example 2","Example 3",null,"Explanation"]
[null,"Project Example","Example 1",null,null,null,null,null,"Selection of the capital cost value to use. If any value is entered in cell D17, this selection will be overridden"]
[null,"Capital cost",{"$f":"IF(D47<>\"\",D47,INDEX($E47:$G47, , MATCH($C$46, $E$45:$G$45, 0)))","v":100000000},null,100000000,40000000,400000000,null,"Capital cost of a counterfactual investment to be deferred at a given location. Examples are intended to provide an illustrative range of potential costs. Users may use one of these example values or input their own in column D"]
[null,"Useful life (years)",{"$f":"IF(D48<>\"\", D48, 40)","v":40},null,null,null,null,null,"Useful life of the original utility asset. This is used to determine depreciation and the year of equipment replacement. The default value is 40 years, representing average life of utility equipment, but may be overridden in column D"]
[null,"Depreciation",{"$f":"(C47/C48)/C47","v":2.5000000000000001E-2},"Calculation - no input",null,null,null,null,"Allocation of the capital cost over the useful life of the asset, based on expected Useful life."]
[null,"Annual revenue requirement % allocator",{"$f":"IF(D50<>\"\", D50, 12.5%)","v":0.125},null,null,null,null,null,"Utility Annualized Revenue Requirement Value. Default is set to 12.5%"]
[null,"Distribution Line Loss Factor",{"$f":"IF(D51<>\"\", D51, 9.77%)","v":9.7699999999999995E-2},null,null,null,null,null,"Marginal distribution line losses. The default value is 9.77%, based on multiplying the average line loss factors for each EDC by 1.5 to estimate marginal losses"]
[null,"Escalation Rate (Nominal)",{"$f":"IF(D52<>\"\", D52, 6%)","v":0.06},null,null,null,null,null,"E3 recommends a range from 2% - 6%. The Handy-Whitman index has recently indicated utility capital costs escalating at ~6%/yr."]
[null,"Discount Rate (Nominal)",{"$f":"IF(D53<>\"\", D53, 8%)","v":0.08},null,null,null,null,null,"Representative weighted average cost of capital (WACC) for EDCs. Default is set to 8% nominal"]
[null,"In-Service Date of Planned Upgrade",{"$f":"Dashboard!C7","v":2032},"Entered on Dashboard Tab"]
[null,"Adjusted Plant-in-service Year",{"$f":"Dashboard!C8","v":2035},"Entered on Dashboard Tab"]
[null,"Years of Deferral",{"$f":"Dashboard!C9","v":3},"Calculation - no input"]
[null,"Original Asset Install Year",{"$f":"IF(D57<>\"\", D57, 2015)","v":2015},null,null,null,null,null,"Year the original utility asset was installed. This is used alongside the Useful life to determine the year of equipment replacement. The default value is 2015 but may be overridden in column D"]
[null,"Year of Existing Equipment Replacement (if any)",{"$f":"'Deferral Value Calculation'!C57+'Deferral Value Calculation'!C48","v":2055},"Calculation - no input",null,null,null,null,"The year that the existing utility asset at a given location would require replacement if no upgrade were necessary"]
[null,"Max No. of Deferral Years",{"$f":"IF(C58=\"\", \"\",C58-C54)","v":23},"Calculation - no input",null,null,null,null,"The maximum number of years a deferral could possibly provide value by delaying the cost of an upgrade. This is the difference between In-Service Date of a counterfactual planned upgrade and the year of existing equipment replacement"]
[]
[]
[null,"Total Deferral Value ($)",{"$f":"SUMIFS($D$66:$D$91, $B$66:$B$91, $C$56)","v":4176884.5755459666}]
[null,"Unitized Deferral Value ($/kW-yr)",{"$f":"SUMIFS($F$66:$F$91, $B$66:$B$91, $C$56)","v":168.34793037738433},null,null,null,null,"Revenue Requirement"]
[]
[null,"Years of Deferral","NPV of Revenue Requirement","Total Deferral Value ($)","Capacity Provided by DERs (MW)*","Unitized Deferral Value ($/kW-yr)",null,2025,{"$f":"H65+1","v":2026},2027,2028,2029,{"$f":"L65+1","v":2030},2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070,2071,2072,2073,2074,2075,2076,2077,2078,2079,2080]
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[]
[null,"*Entered on Dashboard tab as Annual Capacity Need. If DERs provide the annual capacity need, then the traditional asset can be deferred."]